2017 Choker’s Index: Teams That Will Wreck Your Brackets

Photo of an NCAA men's basketball team who might be the biggest chokers in the game

I’m not going to say the name of the NCAA’s biggest chokers but it rhymes with Boater Lame.

What began as a simple experiment three years ago has now become a yearly obsession! I must complete this year’s version of the Choker’s Index at all costs! You know why? Because I need to be able to identify the teams that will wreck your brackets.

If you’re not familiar with the Choker’s Index, it’s a deep-dive into the data that surrounds which NCAA men’s basketball teams have a historical record of choking the big game and thusly… destroying your bracket. It’s heady stuff.

I hear you cry, “But this isn’t real estate? What’s going on Tre?!?”

Ok, I hear you and here’s where I share something truly deep and heartfelt… ok, ready? Here I go… I do other stuff besides real estate. “Gasp!”

Now with the pleasantries out of the way, make way for the heavy lifting.

How the Choker’s Index Works

First, the ground rules:

  • Only schools who’ve been to 15 or more NCAA tournaments since the field was expanded to 64 in 1985 are included.
  • Losing to a team seeded worse than yours counts. Losing to a better team doesn’t. When you’re a #10 and you get beat in the opening round by that #7, we’re not concerned.
  • Opening rounds games count the most. As the tournament progresses, the factor is reduced slightly each round.
  • The bigger the defeat, the more it costs you! If you’re the #1 seed and you fall to the #2 in the fourth round, that only costs you a half point. No biggie. But when the #15 knocks out the #2 in the opening round… BLAM!

Let’s go!

Last Year’s Results

When I add last year’s choker’s to the spreadsheet, we know have 32 years of data. That’s a decent sized dataset boyeee.

One thing I chart is the average total of Choker Points. That number is now 37.61. So, years when the yearly total is lower, that’s a year we didn’t see many upsets in our brackets. To be specific, that year was 2009 with a paltry 11.18. Weak sauce!

The worst offender that year was Illinois (#5) when they lost in the first round to Western Kentucky (#12). Everything else was small change.

Our craziest, most upset-ridden, year was 1990. Check these out!

  • Missouri (#3) lost to Northern Iowa (#14) in the 1st Round: 11 Choker Points
  • Illinois (#5) lost to Dayton (#12) in the 1st Round: 7 Choker Points
  • Louisville (#4) lost to Ball St. (#12) in the 2nd Round: 6.72 Choker Points
  • Purdue (#2) lost to Texas (#10) in the 2nd Round: 6.72 Choker Points
  • Michigan (#3) lost to Loyola Marymount (#11) in the 2nd Round: 6.72 Choker Points
  • Oklahoma (#1) lost to North Carolina (#8) in the 2nd Round: 5.88 Choker Points
  • Arizona (#2) lost to Alabama (#7) in the 2nd Round: 4.2 Choker Points
  • Kansas (#2) lost to UCLA (#7) in the 2nd Round: 4.2 Choker Points
  • Syracuse (#2) lost Minnesota (#6) in the 3rd Round: 2.68 Choker Points
  • Xavier (#6) lost to Texas (#10) in the 3rd Round: 2.68 Choker Points
  • Georgetown (#3) lost to Xavier (#6) in the 2nd Round: 2.52 Choker Points
  • Michigan St. (#1) lost to Georgia Tech (#4) in the 3rd Round: 2.01 Choker Points
  • UConn (#1) lost to Duke (#3) in the 4th Round: 1 Choker Points
  • Indiana (#8) lost to California (#9) in the 1st Round: 1 Choker Points

That’s whopping total of 64.33 Choker Points for the year during the 1990 NCAA Tournament. If only every year was that much fun!

Last year’s 2016 NCAA Tournament was far less volatile. Here are the chokers who shouldn’t have lost.

  • Michigan St. (#2) lost to Middle Tennessee St. (#15) in the 1st Round: 13 Choker Points
  • Purdue (#5) lost to Arkansas Little Rock (#12) in the 1st Round: 7 Choker Points
  • Arizona (#6) lost to Wichita St. (#11) in the 1st Round: 5 Choker Points
  • Texas (#6) lost to Northern Iowa (#11) in the 1st Round: 5 Choker Points
  • Xavier (#2) lost to Wisconsin (#7) in the 2nd Round: 4.2 Choker Points
  • Kentucky (#4) lost to Indiana (#5) in the 2nd Round: 0.84 Choker Points
  • Kansas (#1) lost to Villanova (#2) in the 1st Round: 0.5 Choker Points
  • North Carolina (#1) lost to Villanova (#2) in the Final Game: 0.17 Choker Points

This was a fairly average year for Choker Points with a total of 35.71.

2017 Choker’s Index

Now let’s look at all the years and all the schools!

Chokers Index for 2017

Our local teams are in bold but look near the top for those schools that are most likely to wreck your brackets.

With this in mind (because we know data can’t lie) here are the Top 10 teams that will wreck your brackets in 2017:

  1. Notre Dame | Spread -6.5 – Won by 2
  2. UCLA | Spread -18
  3. Michigan | Spread -2.5 – Won by 1
  4. Gonzaga | Spread -22 – Won by 20
  5. Michigan St. | Spread +2
  6. Wisconsin | Spread -5.5 – Won by 10
  7. Arizona | Spread -16.5 – Won by 18
  8. Kansas | Spread -23
  9. Villanova | Spread -26.5 – Won by 20
  10. Louisville | Spread -20

(First Round Updated: 3/17)

These aren’t the upsets, these are the favorites that choke to a lower side. How Kansas isn’t higher in this list, I have no idea.

Play responsibly my friends, and don’t make me say, “I told you so.”

Most Expensive Louisville Homes in 2016

During the course of 2016, there were 17,882 properties sold via our MLS system. 15,725 of these were your standard, single-family residences (SRF)… the rest fall under different structural varieties.

Out of this vast array of Louisville real estate properties, just 44 sold for $1,000,000 or more. 34 of these most expensive Louisville homes were SFRs, then 6 farms, 3 condos and 1 controversial property finally sold via auction.

For this piece, let’s focus on the most incredible homes that traded hands last year. Who’s with me? Want to know which was the most expensive home sold in 2016? Here we go!

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8 Things Home Inspectors Won’t Tell You

Things Home Inspectors Won’t Tell You

Talk is cheap but what really matters when it comes to home inspectors? [Photo credit: Home Water Softener Reviews]

Buying a new home is a big deal, right? Definitely!
Buyer’s need to get a home inspection. Of course.

But wait! What about all the things home inspectors won’t tell you? That’s what you have me for my friends. Let’s get started!

1. “Never buy a home without a home inspection.”

Honestly, getting a home inspection is the right thing to do… most of the time. Whoa, wait a second Tre, why wouldn’t it always be the right thing to do?!

I’m glad you asked, here’s why.

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Kentucky Population Changes: Where Do We Come From?

Photo of a Welcome to Kentucky sign | Kentucky Population Changes

Thoughts come to me from all directions. No seriously, out of the ether. They also arrive at all times, even when I’m sleeping. I’ll dream of showing crazy homes to my clients, or building a new house with my wife or practically anything.

The other day I thought, “I wonder if the Internet knows where most of the people who are living here in Kentucky came from?”

Sure enough, that information is out there, if you hunt for it.

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27 Things Your Realtor Won’t Tell You

Well, well, well. What have we here? 27 things your Realtor won’t tell you?!

This couldn’t possibly be one of those “behind the scenes,” tell-all posts that I hear so much about? Well, yes… that’s exactly what it is.

“But Tre! I thought you were one of those honest agents that treats clients the way you want to be treated?!?”

Never fear, that hasn’t changed. What I’m about to share is what I’ve seen and heard throughout my career. The good news for you is that, once you’ve read this piece, you’ll be armed and dangerous. No more surprises for you, no sir.

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How to Avoid the Stress of Buying and Selling a House

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You don’t have to get stressed out when buying your new home! Learn how to avoid the stress of buying and selling a house and you’ll have a much better experience.

Can I get real for a moment? Yes?! Thanks a bunch!

Stress kills. It really does. Avoiding stress should be something all of us should be thinking about. Honestly, we can’t avoid all stress, but reducing it… that we can do. And I’m here to help!

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Find the Best Real Estate Agent in Louisville KY

Bit of a bait with that title but stick with me. I’m going to show you how to find the best real estate agent in Louisville with just five easy steps! It’s definitely doable.

First off, how many licensed real estate agents are in Louisville? Well, I used to know. But then our local association changed platforms and now it’s not public. (At least any place I can find.)

It used to be about 3,800 or so. That’s a big number right? How can we pare that down?!

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Top 12 Things Realtors Hate About Home Buyers

Ok people, let’s get real.

I write a lot for Insider Louisville, as well as, my own website,  Louisville Homes Blog, but those are more manicured, civil locales.

Photo of lady on the phone with the caption, "Are you kidding me?!?"

There are definitely some phone calls that Realtors do not want to receive.

On this site? Here’s where things get down to the nitty-gritty, as my Grandma used to say. On this blog, I’ll go behind the curtain to show you what’s really happening in the crazy world of real estate.

I’ll also tell you how I really feel. No holds barred. No rules, just rightTM.

With that in mind, today’s topic is Top 12 Things Realtors Hate About Home Buyers.

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Psychology of Marketing Real Estate, Part 3: Where

The Internet of Things

The Internet has forever changed the way we market real estate.

Welcome to my third and final piece to the puzzle on the Psychology of Marketing Real Estate. This time we’ll be looking at the “where.” If you missed either of the first two parts, I’ve linked them here.

Where Part 1: Who looked at the people involved in the real estate process and Part 2: What looked at the home itself, today we’re going to focus on the places or locations where the actually marketing will take place. It’s traditionally the kind of real estate promotion that we’re all familiar with.

So without further ado, let’s begin!

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Psychology of Marketing Real Estate, Part 2: What

Photo of the entry to a Townhome in Louisville, KY

First impressions are a powerful thing. Make sure you listings are making highly positive ones! (Photo: www.jljordanphotography.com)

If you didn’t check out Part 1 in this series—the Psychology of Marketing Real Estate—I encourage you do so. We started with the most important ingredient, people, and now we’re moving on to the physical product itself… the home!

There’s a great deal that goes into a purchase decision involving a new home. First off, it’s one of the largest investments most of us make in our lifetimes. That, by itself, is enough to set many folks trembling.

Yet besides the money, there are a large number of complex emotions that also come into play. As with anything that we humans interact with, things can get complicated quickly.

Let’s get started!

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